Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices

(Adds expert, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling prices and also reduced its expected sales volumes, sending out the company’s share price down 10%.

Neste stated a drop in the rate of regular diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has produced a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to impede the nascent industry.

Neste in a declaration slashed the expected average equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The company now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had predicted considering that the start of the year, it added.

A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.

“Renewable items’ list prices have been negatively affected by a substantial decrease in (the) diesel rate throughout the 3rd quarter,” Neste said in a declaration.

“At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not decreased and sustainable item market price premiums have actually stayed weak,” the company included.

Industry executives and experts have actually stated rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing growth strategies in Europe.

While the cut in Neste’s assistance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.

Neste’s share price had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki