Our new Deepseek-based AI says “Chiefs vs Eagles? … How Predictable”

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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Nobody can anticipate the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to provide it its best shot. With approximately date news and a small however feisty 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we try to address mankind’s most difficult concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, simply as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pressing concerns that are less easy to select. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be much better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing enhancements - research study paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is really on the smaller sized side. (Some price quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from lots of months ago so we have actually developed an “agentic pipeline” to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown area to make its best forecast possible.

And Now … The Important Questions

We posed the following concerns to our AI and determined its reaction. While we have actually seen prediction enhancements from our training, utilize these price quotes for prop betting at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity

And so it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis’ relationship is rock solid, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal …

First, I’ll look at the bottom lines from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He’s a huge football star, and she’s been helpful of his profession, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even welcomed her pals and family to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.

Some fans are thrilled, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically given comments Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship personal and not resolving the speculation straight.

I believe the crucial points are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he’s plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the chances and his reactions suggest it’s more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I ’d estimate a low possibility, maybe around 5%, thinking about all aspects.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 “tush-pushes” throughout the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% chance

No Jason Kelce hasn’t stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature “tush-push” move, now its simply a various front-tush being pushed. Will an AI comprehend what a “tush-push” is? Does an AI even know what a “tush” is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen’s comparable attempts? Appears like our AI believes they’ll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.

Alright, I’m trying to determine the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 “tush-pushes” during the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend just what a “tush-push” is. From the articles, it appears like it’s a strategy where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It’s compared to pushing a heavy box, so it’s a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the “tush-push.” It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The short article discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is pretty high. … I likewise need to think about the protective techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles’ “tush-push” method, they may adjust their defense accordingly, which might either increase or reduce the number of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than 5 appears like a considerable number however possible provided their confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% possibility. This represents their preparation, confidence in the method, and the likelihood that they’ll utilize it numerous times, especially if it’s efficient early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% chance

While our AI may not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn’t going to pull back from a fight.

From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He’s done this in his songs, like “The Heart Part 4,” and even made a declaration throughout a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That appears significant since it shows he’s done it previously, so perhaps he’ll do it again. But wait, looking at more current articles, it points out that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That might imply he’s less likely to attend to Trump this time.

However, he’s likewise involved in a fight with Drake, which might provide him factors to make some public statements, even if they’re not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track “Not Like Us.” There’s a disparagement fit from Drake, so perhaps he bewares about consisting of any questionable songs in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still want to perform it, even if it’s uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar may feel obliged to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political declarations throughout the halftime program, so there’s a risk that such material might be limited or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant relocations on huge stages. He’s the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime show, which may provide him more innovative liberty. Plus, his previous behavior suggests he’s not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public performances.

But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he’s less motivated to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he’s focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal concerns, octomo.co.uk and the occasion’s context-the probability appears to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility

Lets be honest, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of a chance that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn’t indicate to trigger offense and that he actually discovered it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which may indicate he’s the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.

Looking at the posts, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food lover and likes cheeseburgers. There’s an article particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he’s an individual who takes pleasure in eating, especially with his team. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it’s possible he would partake in a cheeseburger, especially if the circumstance is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility

“Tails never ever fails?” You can’t fool the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 incredibly bowls. Potentially financially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can’t be tricked and thinks anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I’m attempting to figure out the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there’s some historical data that might influence this forecast.

First, I go through the short articles supplied. They all mention the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has actually turned up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, setiathome.berkeley.edu which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, however it’s not a substantial distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is typically considered random. The minor historical edge for tails might be due to chance. But when making predictions, in some cases people weigh historic data even if it’s not statistically considerable. So, oke.zone I should consider whether this historical predisposition should affect the possibility.

After considering it, I decide that while the historic data reveals a minor preference for tails, it’s not statistically substantial adequate to move the likelihood far from 0.5. So, I’ll choose 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the minor historical edge exists but doesn’t the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity

We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn’t born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn’t inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would probably believe the exact same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI says the chances are only 1% (hmmmm … 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I’m trying to find out the probability that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that’s a quite serious allegation. Let me break this down. First, I’m seeing a great deal of articles that talk about conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some doubtful hire current video games, specifically the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get irritated when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as “preposterous” and “ludicrous.” They state there’s no evidence of methodical predisposition. That’s a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they’re rejecting it, it may indicate there’s no genuine basis or they would have resolved it differently if there was some truth to it.

Looking at the short articles, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also pointed out that analytical analysis doesn’t show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For instance, Mike Pereira from FOX said information shows the Chiefs have been penalized more because 2022. That’s interesting because if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate less penalties, right?

…

So, putting everything together, the probability that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero since you can’t eliminate every possibility, however very not likely.

Summary

There you have it everyone, is it even worth enjoying the video game still? I guess I’ll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for a good video game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.